Today's new polling by the King's College London Policy Institute is extraordinary for several reasons. It shows concrete granular evidence that views are softening on Brexit across the board.
Today's new polling by the King's College London Policy Institute is extraordinary for several reasons. It shows concrete granular evidence that views are softening on Brexit across the board.
The music, apparently swelling towards a climax that never arrives, sounds like a Coldplay outtake, and most of the faces suggest an entertaining Saturday night in front of the TV.
Theresa May cannot say she has not been warned. Brexit poses a mounting threat to the unity of the UK. Nor can she dispute the eminence of those who have been doing the warning. During the referendum campaign in 2016, John Major counselled that a British exit could “tear apart” the UK.
Get the New Statesman's Morning Call email. What’s the way out for the government of its Brexit mess? Downing Street is rapidly running out of politically viable ways to resolve the Brexit talks. Here are some ways that won’t work.
The M26 in Kent is being shut overnight while work is done to see if it can be used as a "parking lot" for lorries, in the event of a no-deal Brexit. It will be closed from 2200 BST until 0530 BST until 15 October and again between 19 November and 21 December.
After a year and a half of negotiations with the European Union, the British government is no closer to a divorce agreement than it was when it invoked Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty in March 2017. Sooner or later, Britons will have to choose between self-destruction and no Brexit at all.
Eurostar trains and electricity supplies in Northern Ireland face possible disruption if the UK exits the EU without a deal, the government says. The latest batch of contingency papers for a no-deal Brexit warn rail services could be suspended without specific agreements with France and Belgium.
“A no-deal Brexit would be ‘a disaster’ for Spain, the country’s UK tourism chief has warned” – so began a news story from this week’s Abta Travel Convention in Seville.
“We have had no end of a lesson: it will do us no end of good!” So said Rudyard Kipling of the Boer war, and he might well say the same today. David Cameron’s wild European gamble has failed. He and the British establishment took democracy for granted.
ON ONE level, much has happened since June 23rd, when Britain voted by 51.9% to 48.1% to leave the European Union. The country has a new government led by Theresa May. She has set up two new Departments, for Exiting the EU (under David Davis) and for International Trade (under Liam Fox).
BEFORE the referendum, economists were in near-unanimous agreement that a vote to Leave would hit the economy. And as predicted, the past three weeks have been torrid. The pound has fallen by one-tenth against the dollar; the FTSE 250, an index of domestically focused firms, is down.
The hard-liners in her party will howl with rage, but most of the country will welcome it if the prime minister is honest about Brexit’s awful consequences As she tries to move the Brexit negotiations forward, how much better would Theresa May and the country feel if the speech she made
If we don’t explode the divisive myths, we’ll never truly understand why people voted as they did Laura Kuenssberg, the BBC’s political editor, will spill the inside beans of Brexit on Monday: how was it possible for David Cameron to have entered this referendum so unprepared, so lukewa
The election changed everything and now deadlock in parliament looms. The final deal may have to go back to the people Negotiations on Britain’s withdrawal from the EU have now begun in earnest.
When I first started working at the BBC, in 2001, what struck me was not how most of the people in charge were from the same universities, or that it was assumed you were a ski enthusiast, or how casually people dropped the names of powerful people they knew. It was the uniformity of thinking.
LONDON — Britain’s National Health Service, put in place by the country’s post-World War II Labour government, holds a unique place in the country’s psyche as both source of constant frustration, object of affection and — somehow — a central pillar of arguments both to leave and remain i
By changing the language it uses about leaving the EU, Labour can reveal the truth about the Tories’ claims to toughness and economic competence Political language matters. The Tories understand this: that’s why they repeat the same messages over and over again.
When historians examine Britain’s departure from the European Union, one of the things that will puzzle them is the behaviour of the Conservative Party. Thanks to copious demographic and geographical analysis, we are already in a position to make sense of the referendum result itself.
The Brexit debate is an endless source of mirth for anyone with a dark sense of humour. My favourite quote is from Michael Gove, Britain’s environment secretary.
Today, Donald Trump will become the 45th president of the United States. But the story of how he managed to become the most powerful man in the world — why Americans were drawn to someone with authoritarian tendencies and a jarring lack of relevant experience — remains largely unresolved.
It’s easy to dismiss the Tory right as stupid: too easy if you wish to stop Brexit or limit the damage it will cause. As insults go, it is mild. The right has no plan beyond a desire to turn Britain into a Randian dystopia where regulations vanish and the state withers.
Easter, spring, rebirth? Not this year. Instead there is trepidation, heartache and alarm at what’s to come. When the leader of the House called for Big Ben to ring out from its scaffolding on Brexit day, Theresa May said no: this ends not with a bong but a whimper.
A leave vote will not solve people’s problems, and those feeling betrayed will lurch even further into racism and xenophobia A leave vote will not solve people’s problems, and those feeling betrayed will lurch even further into racism and xenophobia The clutch of England fans in
The dismal project of leaving the European Union is without art or poetry. It is entirely lacking in the cultural depth on which nation-building depends The dismal project of leaving the European Union is without art or poetry.
They once had a laser-guided focus on power, but now all their energy is devoted to leaving Europe, the more dramatically the better Play Video 1:09 We are now well into that most traditional of Tory pastimes, a weekend of plotting aimed at removing a leader.
With living standards already stagnating or declining, the remorseless reaction of the international markets to the referendum vote is starting to make itself felt With living standards already stagnating or declining, the remorseless reaction of the international markets to the refer
Dom Wolf, born in London to German parents, hits bureaucratic wall trying to apply for British passport after Brexit vote Dom Wolf, born in London to German parents, hits bureaucratic wall trying to apply for British passport after Brexit vote 10.
Civil servants have noted 700 areas that need untangling before the UK can leave the EU. Here is the distilled version Civil servants have noted 700 areas that need untangling before the UK can leave the EU. Here is the distilled version
Are we salt of the earth yeomen, or skiving thickos milking the system? Politicians use us as cover for their own bigotry then ignore us the rest of the time “Ordinary hard-working people have genuine concerns about immigration, and to ignore immigration is to undemocratically ignore their needs.
Even for an optimistic Brexiteer like me, the last few days have been difficult. Many people who voted out are already feeling a bit betrayed as certain fundamental truths sink in. The “uncertainty” is already affecting the real economy as we see.
I love British humour. When something goes fundamentally wrong, the British laugh at it. Brexit? The EU now has 1GB of free space. If that gives you a wry smile, better jokes will be along soon – Brexit has a lot of potential to go wrong.
This article must begin with a mea culpa. When British voters decided in June that they wanted to depart the European Union, I agreed with the conventional wisdom that the British economy would probably slow and that uncertainty put it at risk of recession.
There will be nothing quite like the next three months in British politics. So many of the random, unpredictable, almost revolutionary currents seen in and beyond Westminster over the past three years will have to start to settle in some form.
IT IS always hard to read runes. That applies especially to the daunting process of leaving the European Union. Yet some recent events point to a softer version of Brexit than some had predicted.
The story of Monique Hawkins highlights the practical difficulties faced by millions of EU citizens concerned that they will not have the right to stay in Britain post-Brexit.
The reaction to Brexit illustrates the desperate need for the Left to return to first principles.
The Tory right doesn’t care about the damage Brexit will do. The prize is a free hand to exploit this mess and roll back the state for good One of the most startling aspects of the Brexit debate is the rapidity with which the Conservatives have set it behind them.
If the leavers or the alt-right had lost the vote, they would be howling. The remain camp and the Democrats must learn a tactical lesson – sheer ruthlessness Join me in a little thought experiment.
Early every Wednesday morning, 15 people leave their homes and travel separately to a secret location in central London, where, over cups of filter coffee and plates of cookies, they plot to stop Brexit. Those who gather, bleary-eyed, in the meeting room are a mix of women and men, old and young.
The ‘Overton window’ is a term from political science meaning the acceptable range of political thought in a culture at a given moment. It was the creation of Joseph Overton, a think-tank intellectual based in Michigan, who died in 2003 at 43 after a solo plane accident.
In their frequent moments of self-congratulation, conservatives describe themselves as level-headed and practical people. If there were a scintilla of truth in the stories they tell themselves the government would not think of activating Article 50 this week.
The ruling on article 50 is a huge opportunity. It would not be anti-democratic to try to stop what many other countries see as economic suicide A momentous constitutional decision was taken by the high court of England and Wales this morning.
Avoiding politics at the dinner table may prove harder than ever this Christmas for families on opposite sides of Britain’s intergenerational Brexit divide.
Project Fear predicted economic meltdown if Britain voted leave, so where are the devastated high streets, job losses and crashing markets? Project Fear predicted economic meltdown if Britain voted leave, so where are the devastated high streets, job losses and crashing markets?
David Davis carries the hopes of those who want things as they were.
We don’t need another referendum. Members of parliament have every right to vote against repeal of the act that led us into Europe We don’t need another referendum. Members of parliament have every right to vote against repeal of the act that led us into Europe
BRITAIN last voted in a general election just two years ago. Back then, the country was a bridge between the European Union and Barack Obama’s America. Its economy was on the mend after years of squeezed living standards. Scottish independence had just been ruled out.
With a monotonous regularity, calls for a second referendum are now the default setting of those who oppose the Brexit line of the government, Ukip, and the official leadership of the Labour party. They began with a giant rally in London not long after the Brexit plebiscite.
On Tuesday morning, Americans woke up to some confusing news: The United Kingdom is having a general election on June 8 — even though the next one wasn’t supposed to happen until 2020.
A huge rise in child poverty, a devastating UN critique of British austerity … these are among the news events our government is hoping we miss Watching the fallout of the EU referendum, one phrase keeps coming to mind: a good time to bury bad news.
Even if the economy slumps it’ll make no difference. For some there will always be too little Brexit, never too much – there is no quick rebuttal for that Stir salt into water and you get a clear solution. Boil off the water and you have a residue of salt again.
THESE are exciting times for Britain’s currency, and not in a good way. On the eve of the vote on whether to leave the European Union, back in June, a pound bought you $1.48. Sterling has since declined by more than 16% against the dollar, to $1.22.
British citizens who have chosen to work or spend their retirement years elsewhere in Europe fear their pensions, healthcare and right to remain will disappear post-Brexit. Hope is one of 1.
The right does not want British institutions to take back control from the EU. It wants to take control of British institutions. Understand its raging ambition and you will understand why self-proclaimed Conservatives are so anxious to destroy.
Rather than simply opposing all change, a progressive plan B may just lead to a Brexit that addresses the nation’s problems The one-year anniversary of the triggering of Brexit means many are marking Britain’s progress – and the results are not good.
Surveys from YouGov and Which? point to a growing worry that Brexit will leave the UK poorer The British public will not accept a Brexit deal that leaves them worse off financially, a new poll suggests.
I wrote this essay mainly to organise thoughts in my head, and to share them with others. The aim is to provoke thought and debate, and I am glad I have done that. I don’t claim to be right, but do claim the right to put forward ideas for others to discuss.
Forces lobbying for equality, the NHS and social mobility will soon be in fierce competition with new interests – such as farming – for attention and resources Forces lobbying for equality, the NHS and social mobility will soon be in fierce competition with new interests – s
The phoney war is over. Parliament has signalled that it supports article 50 being triggered. We are leaving the European Union. The pretence that this was at risk was used by some to argue that those questioning the government are somehow unpatriotic Brexit-deniers.
Brexit really does mean Brexit. Theresa May’s long-awaited speech this week finally outlined some of her government’s negotiating objectives. Now we know that Britain wants to leave the European single market it helped to create, the customs union, and the European Union as a whole.
The key is timing. The people may well want a rethink once the clock runs out in March 2019 – when the disaster will be clear Project fear is becoming project reality. Each day brings new evidence of the dire consequences of Brexit.
Chip away, every day. This is a long game but, as harsh reality bites, time will be on the side of the remainers Those of us with only a smattering of knowledge about the ancient world know one thing about Cato the Elder.
Today is going to be a day of panic. In the turmoil subsequent to Britain's exit from the European Union, the pound has lost eight percent of its value, the Prime Minister has resigned, and Britain, in the space of five hours, slipped from fifth to sixth largest economy in the world.
An A to Z of Brexit. Cathartic fragments, pessimistic conjectures. I had to write something, and so I wrote this. A is for Alliance: The Leave coalition seems to be made up of at least six different strands, with widely different motives and demographics.
Exclusive: insiders say ministers will have to choose between economic interests or sovereignty but Brexit department denies any change of mood British officials have quietly abandoned hope of securing the government’s promised “cake and eat it” Brexit deal, increasingly accepting the
Prime minister is sent FOI request to publish legal guidance thought to argue that UK can stop EU divorce process at any time Theresa May is under pressure to publish secret legal advice that is believed to state that parliament could still stop Brexit before the end of March 2019 if MPs
For a brief moment we thought the prime minister a safe pair of hands. But from Brexit to grammar schools, her reckless tactics will split the Tories Remember the sheer relief when Theresa May was catapulted into No 10.
Any attempt to invalidate the first Brexit vote would be wrong. But that does not mean there is no need to further consult British public opinion Let’s be clear about second referendums. There are “good” ones and “bad” ones.
Why are we surprised Leave-voting pensioners are OK with family members losing jobs because of Brexit? Parents want their kids to have more opportunities and a better life than they once had themselves.
The number who want Brexit stopped or radically softened is only 25 per cent. On the morning of 24 June 2016, Brexit opponents heralded the birth of a new movement: "the 48 per cent". Those who voted Remain in the EU referendum would seek to block withdrawal or at least secure the softest version.
It became clear early on in the night that Leave had extraordinary levels of support in the North East, taking 70% of the votes in Hartlepool and 61% in Sunderland. It subsequently emerged that Wales had voted for Leave overall, especially strongly in the South around areas such as Newport.
There was a brief flicker of relief when Theresa May was crowned by her party. At least she was not Boris Johnson, Michael Gove, Andrea Leadsom or any of that gallery of extremist Brexiters and free market ideologues. But the country hardly knew her then.
2018 will be the year when the fate of Brexit and thus of Britain will be decided. 2017 was too early in the negotiation. By 2019, it will be too late. Realistically, 2018 will be the last chance to secure a say on whether the new relationship proposed with Europe is better than the existing one.
Dear Jeremy, our generation is set to receive the worst inheritance in peacetime history. The NHS limps from crisis to crisis. The housing market excludes us further each day: in the 1990s, over half of 25-34s owned a home – today barely a quarter do.
When a majority of MPs voted a year ago to authorise the activation of article 50, they did so because they felt it was their duty as mandated by the Brexit referendum. But this does not mean parliament has to agree to whatever Brexit Theresa May offers.
Jarvis Cocker has recorded a video message for the estimated 30,000 people who took part in the March for Europe rally in London. In the message shot in a recording studio in Paris, the Pulp frontman held up a world map and said: “You cannot deny geography. The UK is in Europe.
Those who still hope to stop us leaving the EU need to think harder about the repercussions: the politics of the referendum period could come roaring back • John Harris is a Guardian columnist Social media is awash with it. In a certain kind of company, conversation inevitably turns to it.
No, we are not all Brexiters now. Two hours later, when the results from the north east began to come in, it was clear he had underestimated the size of the rout.
Brexit wasn’t just about immigration – it was about an emotional attachment to a version of our country that many didn’t even experience Brexit wasn’t just about immigration – it was about an emotional attachment to a version of our country that many didn’t even experience
Theresa May’s trip to Wall Street last month was not a resounding success. By all accounts, she turned up to hear what the bankers had to say about Brexit and they turned up to hear what the new British Prime Minister had to say on the matter – consequently, not much got said.
For many of the disenfranchised and disenchanted Britons who voted for Brexit, a Mad Max-style dystopia may be one of the few tangible benefits For nearly 18 months now, the increasingly frustrated European liberal fat-cat elite has been asking for some clues as to what we brave British Brex
My friends, I must report that there are at least some people who are woefully underestimating this country. They think Brexit isn’t going to happen. There are some media observers – in this country and around the world – who think we are going to bottle it.
A shadowy global operation involving big data, billionaire friends of Trump and the disparate forces of the Leave campaign influenced the result of the EU referendum. As Britain heads to the polls again, is our electoral process still fit for purpose?
FOR an event that was supposed to settle a big political question once and for all, last year’s referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union has proved spectacularly disruptive. First it did for the government of David Cameron, who had called it expecting a win for Remain.
On a clear day, the fishermen who dreamed of Brexit can still glimpse their imagined future on the horizon.
Brexit negotiations will leave UK citizens in Europe in a far worse position than EU citizens in the UK, a group of British professionals living in Germany has warned. There are about 100,000 Britons living in Germany.
Did you ever see a slightly drunk man trying that trick with the tablecloth? He thinks he can whip the cloth off the table with a fast, clean snap, but leave all the crockery perfectly intact.
The government is preparing to announce a registration process for the estimated 3 million EU citizens living in the UK, as a first step towards regularising their legal status post-Brexit.
The delusional expectations set up by the likes of Johnson and Gove can never be fulfilled by a timid push on jobs and housing.
Ten days or so ago, on the great sunlit upland of empathy and rational debate that is Twitter, the science writer Ben Goldacre drew his followers’ attention to an image posted by someone else. “Brexit voters get tremendously upset when you say they are racists and idiots,” he said.
Back in the old neighborhood in North West London after a long absence, I went past the local primary school and noticed a change. Many of my oldest friends were once students here, and recently—when a family illness returned us to England for a year—I enrolled my daughter.
Remainers are paralysed by fear of leaving the EU. But it offers huge opportunities for change, on both left and right. This article is from the New Statesman's Christmas issue. Take advantage of our special offers and get a subscription for yourself or a loved one this Christmas.
THE world has enjoyed an unprecedented run of peace, prosperity and cooperation the last 25 years, but now that might be over. At least when it comes to those last two. That, more than anything else, is what Britain's vote to leave the European Union means.
The Tories are at pains to make sure that Brexit is being done by the book; sadly, that book is Lord of the Flies. If the EU had created Brexit as a deliberate The Producers-style disaster to demonstrate how difficult it was to leave, they’d probably have been tempted to tone down the casting.
With Trump and Brexit looming, I can’t say that things will get better next year. But I do know that things will get worse if we don’t fight Guardian readers calling our telethon to donate to child refugees gave more than ever this year.